“We’d need to play catch-up, which means we’d need a lot of rain,” Quigley said.Īs of last week, the Edwards Aquifer’s J-17 well was recorded at 636 feet - considerably below its non-drought 10-day average of 660 feet or above. Alonzo said there are indications San Antonio may start transitioning to “a more neutral type of situation” and could see more rain as soon as the latter half of this winter.īut experts said it’s hard to predict whether the additional rainfall will push San Antonio out of last year’s grueling drought conditions. That aligns with what CPS Energy’s chief meteorologist, Brian Alonzo, told trustees last fall, citing data from the Climate Prediction Center, an agency within the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. We might see a “neutral” year, in which neither weather patterns are active, he said: “We would then simply have to expect the unexpected.” Nielsen-Gammon also cautioned that just because La Niña is expected to shift away this year doesn’t mean we will see the return of her opposite, El Niño, which typically brings wetter, cooler conditions to the South and warmer, drier conditions to the North. That doesn’t mean you won’t get to wear that cute sweater you got for Christmas this year, however cold snaps can still punch through La Niña, and we still have several more weeks of winter. The typical average temperature for December in San Antonio is 53.5 degrees Fahrenheit last month averaged 55.4 F. It’s not often La Niña hangs around for three straight years - that’s only ever happened two other times in recorded weather history.Īs of now, Texas is still in La Niña weather pattern, said State Climatologist John Nielsen-Gammon - hence the warmer-than-usual winter weather in South Texas and the chillier-than-usual winter for the north. Regardless of how this summer shakes out, you can count on your Weather Authority to bring you the latest.For the last three years, South Texas has been experiencing La Niña, said Andrew Quigley, a National Weather Service meteorologist in New Braunfels. In the same token - if we’re on the dry side of a tropical storm - this can make temperatures soar to well above 100 degrees. ![]() All it takes is one storm to bring flooding rains inland to San Antonio. Summer is also when the Atlantic hurricane season ramps up. Average July rainfall is 2.41″, and in August it’s 2.15″. This means a higher heat index - or the “feels like” temperature.Īs for rainfall, we can expect near-average precipitation. ![]() However, the downside of heading into summer with saturated grounds is that humidity *may* be higher than average. This doesn’t mean that we won’t reach 100° at all this season, just that it will be more difficult to see many, many triple-digit days. A nifty phrase I’ve coined for this phenomenon is “A shower a day keeps 100° away.” Cheesy, I know □ With the ground saturated, there will be more moisture in the air, preventing temperatures from easily soaring to 100° regularly. Since March 1, San Antonio has seen more than 10 inches of beneficial rain. While it will still definitely be hot in San Antonio over the summer of 2023, it will probably NOT be as hot as the 2022 summer.Īnd here’s why: South Central Texas is heading into summer with a rainy spring under our belt.
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